Research activities in climate dynamics span a wide range of topics and
methods of work:
From basin length scale (1000km) & a few years time scale (El Niņo)
to global, 100,000 years scales (glacial-interglacial oscillations)
From low-order chaos and nonlinear dynamics in the climate system to fully
turbulent oceanic and atmospheric flows.
From pencil and paper to super computers and real data from research ships
and satellites.
From the practical (develop methodologies and models for predicting greenhouse
warming; El Niņo) to the more curiosity driven (is global climate
stable? why?)
One of the important distinguishing elements of this research area is that
there are still many very fundamental zeroth order problems that are unsolved
in climate research. The scientists working in this area are very far
from having to deal only with polishing the final details. Below are
some examples of such open research questions that we investigate.
1) Why is El Niņo irregular? (low order
chaos or high dimensional atmospheric noise?)
A time series of the sea-surface temperature in the eastern Pacific Ocean
showing El Niņo events as peaks that occur irregularly and are therefore
difficult to predict.
2) Why is El Niņo's peak time always
near the end of the calendar year?
Many El-Niņo events (sea-surface temperature in the eastern Pacific
Ocean) plotted as function of month (January to December over two years).
nearly all events peak at the end of the calendar year, around December-January.
3) Why do glacial-interglacial oscillations
occur? Why do they have a 100kyr time scale?
A time series of climate variables measured from an ice core (a 3,300
meter deep cylinder of ice drilled in Antarctica and representing snow accumulated
there over the past 400,000 years). Note the plotted 100,000 year oscillations
in the global ice volume over the earth.
4) Why did the atmospheric concentration of
CO2 change so dramatically during these glacial-interglacial cycles?
Another ice-core record, with the atmospheric concentration of CO2 plotted
on top. Note that CO2 concentration has varied between 180 and 280
during the glacial-interglacial oscillations. Present concentration
due to man's activities is 360 and is expected to double within the next
few decades.
5) Why has climate during the past 10,000 years
been so stable (weak variability), while before that it was very unstable
(strong variability).
Another record of a climate variable showing that the past 10,000 years
(upper most part of the figure) have been remarkably stable and with small
variability, while before that, climate was far more unstable with climate
fluctuations being significantly stronger.
Examples of our more applied work subjects
- Earth's climate is, of course not only a source
of interesting and challenging research questions as in the above examples,
but also affects our life on a daily basis, through the effects of natural
climate variability like El Niņo as well as through our influence
on climate through greenhouse warming. Some of our activities are addressing
the more applied side of climate dynamics, developing tools to help predict
climate and its implications. A couple of such examples of our work
are
Combine 3d models of the ocean and atmosphere, with 4d data from ships, satellites,
deep-sea moorings, etc in order to produce a better prediction of El Niņo.
Use variational data assimilation based on optimal control/ adjoint models.
Required student background
and typical study program
Students with an undergraduate or M.A. degree
in physics or geophysics are well prepared to study climate dynamics
and physical oceanography. The program of study includes basic courses
in the fluid dynamics of the oceans and the atmosphere (geophysical fluid
dynamics), as well as background courses in physics and applied mathematics.
Some typical test books in geophysical fluid dynamics are:
Pedlosky - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics
Pedlosky - Ocean circulation theory
Gill - Atmosphere-ocean dynamics
Holton - An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology
Lindzen - Dynamics in Atmospheric Physics